The infuleance of uncertainties in the calculation of mean monthly discharges of real discharge series on reservoir storage

Article describe the suggestion of a possible approach to estimating the level of uncertainties affecting the elements of mean monthly discharge series. These discharge series was subsequently integrated into water reservoir storage capacity calculations. The basis of generating the uncertainty affected discharges, water stages and members of the real discharge series of mean monthly discharges was using the Monte Carlo method. As well as intergation of influence of uncertainties of members of discharge series in conect with generators of synthetic discharge series mean monthly discharges. The influence of these synthetic discharge series should be prove in calculations of water - management reservoir storage.